Fighting the Odds

November 19, 2019

First, wishing everyone safe travels during the epic storm going on in the New York area, for anyone travelling to either of the fight cards, stay safe. Here is the updated fight odds from William Hill Sportsbooks in Nevada and my predictions. I always add the disclaimer that if you follow my advice and actually bet the fights, make sure that your bills are paid first. The Punchline is not a gambling website or a handicapping show.

 

Wilder VS Ortiz:

Wilder is a -360 favorite vs the +300 underdog Luis Ortiz. Meaning a $1 bet on Ortiz pays you $3 if he wins, where if you bet on Wilder you get $1 for every $3.60 bet. The over/under on rounds is 9 1/2.

Prediction: Although a great match up on paper, I think Wilder gets to Ortiz early and often and stops a game challenger between rounds 4-6? So if I had to bet, I would bet Wilder on the under!

Uzcategui VS Dirrell

Uzcategui is a -190 and Dirrell is a slight underdog with the +170

Prediction: Dirrell is only a slight underdog so it’s not a crazy idea to pick Andre. In a competitive match up and I think he has enough left to pull this one out?

Kovalev VS Mikhalkin

Kovalev is the huge favorite at -2400 against Mikhalkin +1200

Prediction: I think the oddsmakers know what this match up is about and have it right. Kovalev KO within 6 rounds.

Bivol VS Barrera

Bivol is a -650 vs Barrera +475. Although Kovalev is the headliner at MSG, this one is bound to steal the show! Surprised that Barrera is a heavy underdog and I would actually put a little something on him?

Prediction: Barrera by close decision in what turns out to be a good fight!

Brook VS Rabchanka

Heavy favorite Kell Brook in England looks to bounce back from losses and orbital bone injuries suffered vs Triple G and Errol Spence. Eddie Hearn is prepping a Brook VS Khan mega fight for England. He knows what he’s doing as the favorite Brook at -2800 should get back on track vs a +1300 Rabchanka. Over/Under is 9 1/2 rounds.

Prediction: Brook is coming off the losses, so I think he needs to get back in rhythm and wins a decision. So my bet would be Brook and the over!

That is all for tonight’s action. I will explore more in depth as bouts get closer. Currently Oscar Valdez is a favorite over Scott Quigg for their March 10 showdown and I think that is correct. March 31 Anthony Joshua is a heavy favorite against a live underdog Joseph Parker who is currently a +700. I expect action to pour in on Parker and drop the numbers. So right now would be the best time to invest in Parker. Although I am picking Joshua, it is too big of a number to not be tempted to put a little something on Parker just in case? David Haye is a slight favorite vs Tony Bellew for May 5th and Golovkin right now is a slight favorite vs Canelo for their match up in Vegas the same night. For May 11 Usyk is a favorite against Gassiev.


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